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Iran’s Imperfect Trap for Obama

A sudden rise in oil prices could do to Obama’s reelection bid what Ayatollah Ali Khomeini’s 1979 takeover of the U.S. embassy did to Carter’s reelection ambitions, namely wreck them.

Still, the threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz could come back to haunt Iran’s leaders.


Posted on : Dec 30 2011
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Forecasting a possible Israeli attack against Iran

If you want to know whether Israel is about to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities then you’d be better served looking at Iran-related policy and statements emanating from Washington DC than speculative reports from the Israeli press.


Posted on : Nov 04 2011
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Debate: Nuclear Iran = End of Israel?

Who is in charge of Iran’s nuclear program?

Are Iran’s leaders messianic?

What would be the consequences for Israel, if Iran becomes armed with a nuclear bomb?

These questions are addressed by two Israel based experts (Meir Javedanfar and Efraim Inbar from Bar Ilan University) after the screening of the movie “Iranium” at the Menachem Begin Heritage Center
in Jerusalem.


With thanks to Hadar Israel Foundation for arranging the evening and discussions.

Posted on : Apr 12 2011
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Bushehr: Producing Energy and Political Capital

Can the Bushehr power plant advance Iran’s plans to make a nuclear bomb?
How should Israel and the west view this new development?

And why is John Bolton so worried about Bushehr?


Posted on : Aug 21 2010
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Flotilla Fiasco Boon for Iran

What’s likely to make Tehran particularly happy is the fact that Israel walked into a trap, with its eyes wide open.


Posted on : Jun 01 2010
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Nuclear weapons = more stability for Iran?

I am about to embark on a full day simulation.

Its title is “Iran – The Day After”. It will basically try to asses the behavior of Iran after it will become armed with nuclear weapons.

I will be a member of the Iran team.


Here are my thoughts before the simulation begins.

The main question asked in this article is: will nuclear weapons and their ability to create deterrence being security and stability for the Islamic republic?


Lets see if the simulation proves otherwise.

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Posted on : May 16 2010
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Obama’s nuclear misstep in Iran

The Mahmoud Ahmadinejad show arrived at the UN for the sixth time, and much like its previous episodes, it did not disappoint. His speech contained its usual anti-Israel and anti-US diatribe but, surprisingly,
this year he also had some interesting and salient points.


Posted on : May 04 2010
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Is nuclear armed Iran a foregone conclusion?

“Get ready to live with nuclear Iran” was the title of a recent article by H.D.S. Greenway, in the Boston Globe.

Greenway is not alone in thinking that Iran’s nuclear program is unstoppable. The article below examines the question whether it is simply too late, and the world should switch from preventing a nuclear Iran, to containing it.


Two part panel interview with France24, about the question of nuclear terrorism, Iran, The Pakistani nuclear program and Obama’s new nuclear doctrine.

Part 1


Part 2


Posted on : Apr 22 2010
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